A modelling study of possible impacts of Future Climate Change on Strong Typhoons in the Western North Pacific

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Haiyan

Minimum central pressure (hPa)

Experiment Changes 13110600 13110603 13110606 13110609 13110612 13110615 13110618 13110621 13110700 13110703 13110706 13110709 13110712 13110715 13110718 13110721 13110800 13110803 13110806 13110809 13110812 13110815 13110818 13110821 13110900
Present day control 948.79 943.927 930.441 920.779 918.647 912.994 908.338 901.38 894.952 890.169 888.371 885.36 883.447 884.315 888.803 895.575 905.1286667 926.9203333 933.727 941.5555 941.985 940.8135 943.013 942.299 941.198
RCP4.5 -10.571 949.237 946.407 932.754 922.341 921.087 920.119 920.374 919.704 917.212 908.66 897.791 895.072 894.018 898.832 899.953 897.233 894.895 920.829 933.607 936.349 940.777 944.237 947.622 950.266 950.92
RCP8.5 -26.798 949.581 948.469 934.877 923.94 924.701 927.963 928.199 926.931 922.477 919.652 916.079 911.603 911.654 910.245 910.567 911.014 913.01 922.2216667 933.7633333 938.515 942.318 947.4465 948.964 952.115 952.452


Maximum wind speed (m/s)

Experiment Changes 13110600 13110603 13110606 13110609 13110612 13110615 13110618 13110621 13110700 13110703 13110706 13110709 13110712 13110715 13110718 13110721 13110800 13110803 13110806 13110809 13110812 13110815 13110818 13110821 13110900
Present day control 50.931 62.157 67.4319 68.4095 66.4528 65.3761 71.3496 75.4239 75.4239 77.2253 72.2599 74.3906 73.2548 73.8276 73.798 73.6083 74.6169 52.7674 50.3892 47.9409 50.2623 50.1959 46.8147 53.9531 55.5752
RCP4.5 -2.0802 51.022 60.8924 68.2414 67.4124 64.5326 65.3401 67.2067 60.8478 66.2398 71.419 74.0046 68.9558 73.2493 66.3253 70.2847 74.9708 75.1451 48.5398 54.5872 53.4607 56.382 48.9222 45.0575 43.5198 46.8516
RCP8.5 -7.1022 51.0748 60.7494 62.6777 66.5233 63.5094 56.457 63.3201 62.724 65.0494 61.9036 66.755 68.3732 63.7352 67.0876 67.4151 69.4834 70.1231 62.2715 51.9267 51.6078 52.9501 43.1745 44.9336 45.955 50.2217


Rain water, snow, and graupel mixing ratio (g/kg)

2013's Haiyan
RCP4.5's Haiyan
RCP8.5's Haiyan