氣候 · 降水 · 季風Climate · Precipitation · Monsoon
黃婉如Wan-Ru HuangWan-Ru Huang黃婉如
系主任 / 特聘教授Chair & Distinguished Professor
國立臺灣師範大學 地球科學系Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University
研究臺灣與亞洲季風區的降水變異、長期變遷及其物理機制,結合衛星與地面觀測、再分析資料,以及全球與區域氣候模式。Studying precipitation variability, long-term change, and the physical mechanisms behind them over Taiwan and the Asian monsoon region — using satellite and ground observations, reanalyses, and global and regional climate models.
研究成果簡介Research
氣候變遷下臺灣與鄰近地區的降水特性變化及相關機制How climate change shapes precipitation over Taiwan and adjacent regions
本實驗室多年來致力於探討「氣候變遷下臺灣與鄰近地區的降水特性變化及相關機制」。特別是針對「大尺度環流的長期變遷對臺灣與華南地區日夜變化降水事件(diurnal rainfall events,如午後對流)之影響」這個議題有一系列的分析及成果。研究內容包括觀測(含衛星觀測及測站觀測)資料及模式模擬(含全球模式及區域模式)資料的分析,分析的時間尺度包括:氣候平均場、長期趨勢、年代際變化、年際變化、季內震盪變化,以及未來氣候變遷下的推估。
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透過多種觀測資料的分析,我們發現:(1)臺灣的日夜變化降水事件,其時間分布有區域性差異,且此差異與「大尺度與區域尺度日夜環流之間的交互作用」有關。(2)臺灣與華南地區梅雨季的鋒面降水及午後對流降水皆存在長期趨勢變化,且與大氣環流熱力、動力過程的長期變遷有關。(3)臺灣午後對流降水的長期趨勢存在顯著的區域性差異,亦受大尺度環流變遷影響。(4)臺灣午後對流降水的發生頻率及降雨強度,會受到大尺度環流季內震盪、東太平洋海溫年際變化及年代際變化的影響。
此外,透過 CMIP5、CMIP6 氣候模式及區域模式降尺度資料的分析,我們檢視了不同模式對東亞(含臺灣)未來降水變化的推估。研究發現:(1)18 個 CMIP5 模式中,以 CMCC-CM 最能掌握東亞梅雨季日夜變化降水的時空分布,並推估未來臺灣與華南受「具東移傳播特性的降水系統」影響的機會將變多。(2)以 WRF 模式動力降尺度後,能有效改善模式對臺灣、華南與呂宋夏季日夜降水時空特性的表徵。(3)未來各類型降水(午後對流、鋒面、颱風及其他南來系統)對臺灣夏季降水的貢獻將改變,其中午後對流頻率將較現在少。(4)CMIP6 模式中以 EC-Earth3 系列對臺灣、華南及呂宋午後對流降雨的表現最佳;多數模式推估未來臺灣午後對流降雨頻率減少、強度增強,與大氣動力、熱力條件變化有關。
My academic expertise is in climate data analysis and the dynamical mechanisms of global and regional precipitation change. Most of my research explores how climate change affects precipitation in Taiwan. In particular, a series of studies has shown that local afternoon rainfall in Taiwan is affected by large-scale circulation changes on multiple timescales — climatology, long-term trend, interdecadal, interannual and intraseasonal variation, and future projection.
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For a long time, afternoon convective rainfall in Taiwan was regarded as a local event modulated mainly by the local diurnal circulation. Our work shows that its frequency and intensity contain long-term trends and interdecadal, interannual and intraseasonal changes, regulated not only by local but also by large-scale circulation. Using global climate model data, we have also demonstrated how future circulation changes may affect precipitation in Taiwan. More recently, we have expanded into evaluating new satellite precipitation observations for research use in Taiwan and the wider region.
- 日夜變化降水特性,以及局地對流與區域、大尺度大氣環流之間的物理連結機制。Diurnal precipitation characteristics and the physical mechanisms linking local convection to regional and large-scale atmospheric circulation.
- 區域降水的變異與長期變遷,著重大尺度大氣環流與海溫變化所扮演的角色。Regional precipitation variability and long-term change, with an emphasis on large-scale circulation and sea surface temperature variations.
- 衛星降水產品的評估與應用,探討區域降雨在多重時間尺度上的特性。Evaluation and application of satellite precipitation products to investigate regional rainfall across multiple timescales.
- 全球氣候模式與區域動力降尺度資料(含 CMIP5、CMIP6 及 WRF)分析,評估未來降水與極端降雨的推估變化。Analysis of global climate models and regional dynamically downscaled datasets (CMIP5, CMIP6, WRF) to assess projected changes in precipitation and rainfall extremes.
研究區域Where we work
圓點大小代表論文數量,點選地區可查看相關論文Dot size shows the number of papers — select a region to see them
依論文標題歸類;同一篇可涵蓋多個地區。另有部分論文研究北美、南亞或全球尺度,未列於地圖上。Classified by paper title; a paper may cover several regions. Some papers on North America, South Asia or global scales are not shown.
多重時間尺度環流變化對臺灣及亞洲季風區降雨的影響Influence of circulation changes on multiple timescales on rainfall in Taiwan and the Asian monsoon region
本研究室主導的研究議題統整(Table 1,更新至 2026 年;點選可開啟論文)Summary of the work led by this research group (Table 1, updated to 2026; select an entry to open the paper)
近期研究簡介Recent Highlights
近年來,我們的研究範圍由臺灣延伸至東南亞與南亞。在觀測分析方面,探討季內振盪(MJO)與 ENSO 對斯里蘭卡、越南日夜降雨的調節作用,以及呂宋春季日夜降雨的年際變化與機制;並評估 IMERG、GSMaP、PERSIANN、CHIRPS 等衛星降水產品在臺灣、呂宋及越南的表現。在氣候推估方面,利用 CMIP6、CESM2-LE 及 CORDEX-SEA 等模式資料,探討海溫變化對臺灣未來午後對流的影響、華南與臺灣初夏降水特徵的未來變遷,以及海洋大陸日夜降雨的未來推估。此外,我們也分析 2022 年 1–2 月臺灣極端降水的特徵與成因,並探討海洋大陸森林砍伐對亞洲初夏降水的遠端影響。這些成果有助於了解臺灣與鄰近地區的降水如何受到氣候變遷影響。
In recent years our work has extended from Taiwan to Southeast and South Asia. Observationally, we have examined how the MJO and ENSO modulate diurnal rainfall over Sri Lanka and Vietnam, the interannual variability and mechanisms of spring diurnal rainfall over Luzon, and the performance of satellite products such as IMERG, GSMaP, PERSIANN and CHIRPS over Taiwan, Luzon and Vietnam. For projections, we use CMIP6, CESM2-LE and CORDEX-SEA simulations to study how sea surface temperature shapes future afternoon convection in Taiwan, future changes in early-summer rainfall over South China and Taiwan, and diurnal rainfall over the Maritime Continent. We have also analysed the extreme rainfall of January–February 2022 in Taiwan and the remote impacts of Maritime Continent deforestation on early-summer precipitation across Asia.
精選論文(點選卡片可前往論文頁面)Selected papers (click a card to open the paper)
學經歷Education & Experience
現職與經歷Professional Experience
- 2025–迄今now系主任Chair國立臺灣師範大學 地球科學系Dept. of Earth Sciences, NTNU
- 2019–迄今now特聘教授Distinguished Professor國立臺灣師範大學 地球科學系Dept. of Earth Sciences, NTNU
- 2018/08–迄今now教授Professor國立臺灣師範大學 地球科學系Dept. of Earth Sciences, NTNU
- 2015/08–2018/07副教授Associate Professor國立臺灣師範大學 地球科學系Dept. of Earth Sciences, NTNU
- 2012/08–2015/07助理教授Assistant Professor國立臺灣師範大學 地球科學系Dept. of Earth Sciences, NTNU
- 2009/08–2012/07博士後研究員Postdoctoral Research Fellow香港城市大學 能源及環境學院 Guy Carpenter 亞太區氣候影響研究中心Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre, School of Energy and Environment, City University of Hong Kong
- 2008/08–2009/07博士後研究助理Postdoctoral Research Associate美國愛荷華州立大學Iowa State University, USA
學歷Education
- Ph.D.大氣科學博士Atmospheric Sciences美國愛荷華州立大學Iowa State University, USA
- M.S.大氣科學碩士Atmospheric Sciences美國愛荷華州立大學Iowa State University, USA
- B.S.大氣科學學士Atmospheric Sciences國立中央大學National Central University, Taiwan
榮譽事項Honors & Awards
校外External
- 2018科技部吳大猷先生紀念獎Wu Ta-You Memorial Award, Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST)
- 2018, 2020中華民國大氣科學期刊優良論文獎Outstanding Paper Award, Atmospheric Sciences (Meteorological Society of the R.O.C.)
- 2016–2024科技部補助大專校院獎勵特殊優秀人才MOST Award for Particularly Outstanding Talent
- 2017–2018地球科學集刊(TAO)優良審查人獎Outstanding Reviewer Award, Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
- 2017中華民國地球科學學會大道新人獎Young Scientist Award, Chinese Geoscience Union in Taiwan
- 2017科技部優秀年輕學者計畫MOST Outstanding Young Scholar Project
- 2016海峽兩岸青年大氣科學學術研討會最佳論文獎Best Paper Award, Cross-Strait Young Scholars Conference on Atmospheric Sciences
- 2015參與論文 Wang et al.(2015)獲美國 CBS News 報導Co-authored paper Wang et al. (2015) featured by CBS News (USA)
校內National Taiwan Normal University
- 2022111 年度教學優良獎Excellence in Teaching Award
- 2019107 年度研究績優獎Outstanding Research Award
- 2019–特聘教授Distinguished Professorship
- 2014–2018優聘教授Merit Professorship
學術與專業服務Academic & Professional Service
- 2023/08–2027/07行政院中央災害防救會報 委員Member, Central Disaster Prevention and Response Council, Executive Yuan
- 2025/04–2027/04行政院國家永續發展委員會第 21 屆 委員Member, 21st National Council for Sustainable Development, Executive Yuan
- 2025–2026行政院災害防救專家諮詢委員會第十二屆 委員(颱洪組召集人)Convener, Typhoon and Flood Group, 12th Disaster Prevention and Response Expert Advisory Committee, Executive Yuan
- 2023–2024行政院災害防救專家諮詢委員會第十一屆 委員(颱洪組召集人)Convener, Typhoon and Flood Group, 11th Disaster Prevention and Response Expert Advisory Committee, Executive Yuan
- 2021–2022行政院災害防救專家諮詢委員會第十屆 委員(颱洪組)Member, Typhoon and Flood Group, 10th Disaster Prevention and Response Expert Advisory Committee, Executive Yuan
- 2021–2025內政部主管中央災害防救業務計畫檢討精進專案推動小組(風災組)委員Member, Wind Disaster Group, Task Force for the Review and Improvement of Central Disaster Prevention and Response Operation Plans, Ministry of the Interior
- 2021–2026新北市災害防救專家諮詢委員(第六至八屆)Member, Disaster Prevention and Response Expert Advisory Committee (6th–8th terms), New Taipei City
- 2021–2023科技部/國科會 大氣科學學門複審委員Review Panel Member, Atmospheric Sciences Division, MOST / NSTC
- 2018–2020科技部防災學門氣象組 複審委員Review Panel Member, Meteorology Group, Disaster Prevention Division, MOST
- 2021–2025中華民國氣象學會《大氣科學》期刊 主編Editor-in-Chief, Atmospheric Sciences (Meteorological Society of the R.O.C.)
- 2021TAO 特刊客座副編輯:Taiwan-Philippine VOTE-Meteorology: Typhoon Study and Related Natural HazardAssociate Guest Editor, TAO Special Issue: Taiwan-Philippine VOTE-Meteorology: Typhoon Study and Related Natural Hazard
學術著作Publications
* 通訊作者+ 研究室成員* corresponding author+ lab member
歷年發表數Papers per year
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歷年引用數Citations per year
資料來源:Google Scholar,截至 2026 年 10 月(2026 年未滿一年)Source: Google Scholar, as of October 2026 (2026 is a partial year)
研究主題關鍵詞Research topics in paper titles
依論文標題關鍵詞歸類(一篇可屬多個主題),點選可篩選論文Grouped by keywords in paper titles (a paper may count in several) — select one to filter